CROATIAN RURAL FUTURES IN 2030: FOUR ALTERNATIVE SCENARIOS FOR POSTSOCIALIST COUNTRYSIDE IN THE NEWEST E.U. MEMBER STATE

نویسندگان

چکیده

The academic picture of a globalized European countryside, and particularly rural areas in postsocialist, new member states the Union, is one huge increasing complexity, diversity, uncertainties about future. aim this research to construct alternative scenarios for Croatia 2030, acknowledging its postsocialist transition as an important framework. Future development were constructed by integrating quantitative qualitative approaches. main methods used were: factor cluster analysis; Monte Carlo simulation; Delphi method, involving 37 experts two rounds written questionnaires. Four developed: Rural Renaissance, Shift, Road Nowhere, Growth without Development. These provide set well-documented reasonable assumptions aid thinking possible future paths Croatian while at same time allowing discussion paradigms.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Geographical Review

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1931-0846', '0016-7428']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00167428.2020.1871298